§3
Research
Academic and independent econometric work, including the senior honors thesis and sports-econometrics modeling.
§3.1
March Madness Predictor
Bradley-Terry point-margin ratings over 57k D-I games, tuned by real backtested MAE — real 2026 Final Four predictions.
ResearchSports
§3.2
Point Shaving in NCAA
Retested Wolfers (2006)'s point-shaving test on 95,781 D-I games — the identifying divergence turns out to be mechanical, not corruption, once heteroskedasticity is modeled correctly.
ResearchSports
§3.3
Senior Honors Thesis
Dual Math-Econ senior honors thesis on prediction market efficiency.
Research
§3.4
Medical Marijuana Laws & Crime
Replicating Gavrilova, Kamada & Zoutman (2019) on medical marijuana laws and violent crime — a real DDD re-estimation, checked against the published paper's own tables.
Research